Research

Building public benefit through evidence

We publish conservative, verifiable research that supports charitable programs and informs policy. Where data is preliminary, we say so.

Research and reporting
6.5M Animals enter U.S. shelters annually
20% Dogs reunited with owners
<5% Cats reunited with owners
35% Microchip data outdated at shelter entry

Research Brief

The Missing Animals Crisis

A systemic analysis of companion animal displacement, recovery failures, and the reunification gap

The displacement of an estimated 5.8 to 6.5 million dogs and cats annually represents a catastrophic failure of the animal welfare infrastructure. This is not merely a private family misfortune—it is a reunification crisis driven by fragmented data systems, inconsistent legislative frameworks, and socio-economic inequity.

The High-Volume Axis

Five states—Texas, California, North Carolina, Florida, and Alabama—account for more than 50% of all shelter euthanasia in the United States. Texas alone accounts for over 61,000 animal deaths annually.

Micro-Displacement

Research from Dallas Animal Services found that 70% of stray dogs are found less than one mile from home, and 42% are found less than 400 feet away. These animals aren't truly "lost"—they're circulating in their own neighborhoods.

Economic Displacement

In Los Angeles County, the rise in shelter intake is explicitly linked to housing insecurity and the loss of pet-friendly housing. Many "strays" are actually victims of economic displacement, not wandering.

The Psychology of Loss

Research on "ambiguous loss" shows that 84% of pet owners experience false recognition—hallucinating the sight or sound of their missing animal. The psychological toll rivals the loss of a family member.

The Desperation Economy

Desperate owners spend $500 to $3,000+ on recovery services. This vulnerability has spawned predatory scams: the "Google Voice" identity theft scheme and "Flight Nanny" advance-fee fraud target grieving pet owners within minutes of posting.

Domestic Violence Link

Up to 89% of DV survivors report their abuser threatened or harmed their pet. Only 12-15% of DV shelters can accommodate pets, and 50% of survivors refuse to leave without their animal.

Research Brief

The Digital Leash

Microchip efficacy, registry fragmentation, and the data integrity crisis

The microchip promised a permanent digital link between pet and guardian. Decades later, that promise remains only partially fulfilled. The technology works—but the data ecosystem is fractured. When registries fail, phones change, or databases don't talk to each other, the chip becomes a digital dead end.

The Microchip Advantage

Dogs
Without chip
21.9%
With chip
52.2%

2.4× more likely to be reunited

Cats
Without chip
1.8%
With chip
38.5%

20× more likely to be reunited

Source: Lord et al., Journal of the American Veterinary Medical Association

Why Microchips Fail

When reunification fails for a microchipped pet, the cause is almost never hardware failure. It's data failure.

35.4% Incorrect or disconnected phone number
24.3% Owner failed to respond to contact attempts
17.2% Chip registered in a different database
9.8% Chip implanted but never registered

The Centralization Gap

In Israel, where a single government-run database exists, the dog reunification rate is 67%. In the fragmented U.S. market with competing private registries, rates hover between 13-19%. The 50-point gap is a testament to the power of friction reduction.

Research Brief

The American Stray Pet Reunion Matrix

A 50-jurisdiction statutory analysis of impoundment, holding periods, and owner rights

Geography is destiny for lost pets in America. A dog impounded in Hawaii faces a 48-hour window. A dog in California enjoys 6 business days. The difference between "three days" and "72 hours" can be the difference between life and death.

The Business Day Advantage

States using business days (California, Utah, Minnesota) give owners effectively more than a calendar week. States using calendar days keep the clock running through weekends when shelters may be closed.

Dillon's Rule vs. Home Rule

Home Rule states (West, Midwest) allow local flexibility for extended holds. Dillon's Rule states (South, Mid-Atlantic) require strict adherence to state mandates—a shelter cannot extend a hold even during a disaster without enabling legislation.

Barriers to Release

Even when owners locate their pet in time, mandatory sterilization fees and accrued boarding costs function as de facto forfeiture mechanisms. In some jurisdictions, costs exceed $500 within days.

Hold Period Variance

Hawaii 48 hrs Calendar
North Carolina 72 hrs Calendar
West Virginia 5 days Local
California 6 biz days Business
New York 7-9 days Calendar + Notice
Missouri 5-10 days Calendar

Research Brief

Behavioral Architecture in Public Health

How incentive design, gamification, and social accountability drive preventive behavior

Traditional public health campaigns assume that if people have accurate information, they will logically change behavior. This "information deficit model" has repeatedly failed. Behavioral economics offers a different approach: bridge the gap between immediate costs and distant benefits through smart incentive design.

01

Temporal Discounting

A $50 voucher today is more motivating than a $500 reduction in future costs. Small, immediate rewards consistently outperform large, deferred benefits.

02

Loss Aversion

The pain of losing is twice as powerful as the pleasure of gaining. "Deposit contracts" where participants risk their own money drive 3.5× more weight loss than control groups.

03

Regret Lotteries

Being told you would have won had you participated is more motivating than the hope of winning. Regret lotteries are "vastly more cost effective" than standard drawings.

04

Social Accountability

Shared incentives beat individual rewards. A "shared pot" seatbelt program achieved 91.3% participation vs. 88% for individual lotteries—and the effect persisted after incentives ended.

Case Study: Gamification + Financial Incentives

The BE ACTIVE randomized clinical trial tested combinations of gamification and financial incentives for increasing physical activity:

Control +1,418 steps/day
Gamification alone +1,954 steps/day
Financial incentives alone +1,915 steps/day
Combined approach +2,297 steps/day

Gamification alone was highly cost-effective (<$50K/QALY). Pure financial incentives were "dominated" by other arms in cost-effectiveness analysis.

Additional Research

More publications

Methodology · Baseline

Measuring PROVENIQ Impact Without Pre-Data

A forensic framework for establishing missing pet recovery metrics in data-scarce environments. Introduces "Digital Archaeology" methodology for reconstructing baselines from dispatch logs and shelter software.

Read report
West Virginia · Infrastructure

West Virginia Civic Resource Engine

Master data specification for all 55 West Virginia counties covering Sheriff's departments, animal control agencies, and veteran services. Maps the heterogeneous landscape of sworn officers, contracted nonprofits, and default enforcement models.

Read report

Research collaboration

If you represent an academic institution, municipal agency, or nonprofit organization and want to collaborate on evidence-based animal welfare research, we welcome the conversation.

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